Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 43.14%. A draw had a probability of 28.54% and a win for Elche had a probability of 28.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 2-1 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.94%) , while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.