Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 42.81%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 30.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 1-0 (9.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.