Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 51.77%. A win for Girona had a probability of 24.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (6.57%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.