Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 51.77%. A win for Girona had a probability of 24.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (6.57%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Elche | Draw | Girona |
| 51.77% | 23.85% | 24.37% |
| Both teams to score 54.8% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.53% | 46.46% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.25% | 68.74% |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.05% | 17.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.22% | 48.77% |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.79% | 33.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.18% | 69.81% |
| Score Analysis |
| Elche | Draw | Girona |
| 1-0 @ 10.23% 2-1 @ 9.69% 2-0 @ 8.79% 3-1 @ 5.55% 3-0 @ 5.04% 3-2 @ 3.06% 4-1 @ 2.38% 4-0 @ 2.16% 4-2 @ 1.31% Other @ 3.54% Total : 51.76% | 1-1 @ 11.28% 0-0 @ 5.96% 2-2 @ 5.34% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.85% | 0-1 @ 6.57% 1-2 @ 6.22% 0-2 @ 3.62% 1-3 @ 2.29% 2-3 @ 1.96% 0-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.38% Total : 24.37% |