Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 47%. A draw had a probability of 26.85% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 26.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.11%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%) , while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (8.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.