La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 17

Dec 21, 2025 at 5.30pm UK

Elche Elche
vs.
Rayo Vallecano

Coverage of the La Liga clash between Elche and Rayo Vallecano.

Form, Standings, Stats

Elche

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Eibar 0-1 Elche
Tuesday, December 16 at 6pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 3-0 Drita
Thursday, December 18 at 8pm in Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Elche win with a probability of 37.79%. A win for Rayo Vallecano has a probability of 36.71% and a draw has a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elche win is 1-0 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win is 0-1 (8.67%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.05%).

Result
Elche	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
37.79% ( 0.61)	25.5% ( 0.04)	36.71% ( -0.65)

Both teams to score 55.97% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.04% (

-0.19)

47.95% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.87% (

-0.18)

70.13% (

0.18)

Elche Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.11% (

0.25)

24.89% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.49% (

0.34)

59.5% (

-0.34)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.51% (

-0.45)

25.48% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.68% (

-0.62)

60.32% (

0.62)

Score Analysis

Elche 37.79%

Rayo Vallecano 36.71%

Draw 25.49%

Elche	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 3.89% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 2.84% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.79% Total : 37.79%	1-1 @ 12.05% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.49%	0-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.24% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.59% Total : 36.71%