La Liga
Dec 21, 2025 5.30pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Hector Fort 6' goal
  • Alvaro 67' goal
  • German Valera 70' goal
  • Aleix Febas 79' yellowcard
  • Josan 84' yellowcard
  • Martim Neto 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Nobel Mendy 22'
  • yellowcard Unai Lopez 57'
  • yellowcard Florian Lejeune 82'

Elche vs Rayo Vallecano - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Elche

All competitions
Last game
Dec 13, 2025 3.15pm
Mallorca 3 - 1 Elche
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
German Valera

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions
Last game
Dec 15, 2025 8.00pm
Rayo Vallecano 0 - 0 Betis
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Nobel Mendy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 37.79%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 36.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (8.67%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result

Elche 37.79% (+0.01)
Draw 25.5% (+0.01)
Rayo Vallecano 36.71% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.97% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.04%
Under 2.5 47.96% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 29.87%
Under 3.5 70.13% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 14.58%
Under 4.5 85.42% (+0.01)

Elche Goals

Over 0.5 75.11% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 24.89% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 40.49% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 59.51% (+0.01)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5 74.52% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 25.48% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 39.68%
Under 1.5 60.32% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Elche 37.79%
Draw 25.5%
Rayo Vallecano 36.71%
Elche
1-0 @ 8.82% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.39%
2-0 @ 6.13% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.89%
3-0 @ 2.84%
3-2 @ 2.66%
4-1 @ 1.35%
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 37.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.06% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.34% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.73%
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.5%
Rayo Vallecano
0-1 @ 8.67% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.24%
0-2 @ 5.93%
1-3 @ 3.76%
0-3 @ 2.7%
2-3 @ 2.61%
1-4 @ 1.28%
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 36.71%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 32
Apr 29, 2023 3.15pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
  • Tete Morente 45'+1' goal
  • Lucas Boye 52' goal
  • Fidel 53' goal
  • Gerard Gumbau 72' goal
La Liga Gameweek 7
Oct 3, 2022 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio de Vallecas
  • Sergio Camello 40' goal
  • Unai Lopez 90'+5' goal
  • goal Lucas Boye 32'
La Liga Gameweek 25
Feb 18, 2022 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Raul Guti 32' yellowcard
  • Guido Carrillo 76' goal
  • Ezequiel Ponce 84' goal
  • Johan Mojica 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Santi Comesana 7'
  • goal Fran Garcia 52'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Catena 68'
  • yellowcard Mamadou Sylla 72'
  • yellowcard Ivan Balliu 75'
La Liga Gameweek 9
Oct 17, 2021 1.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Mario Hernandez 26' goal
  • Randy Nteka 65' goal
  • Unai Lopez 81' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Garcia 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Lucas Boye 14'
  • yellowcard Gerard Gumbau 28'
  • yellowcard Kiko Casilla 90'+4'
Copa del Rey
Jan 16, 2021 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Vallecas
  • Bebe 36' goal
  • Isi 75' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Catena 78' goal
  • yellowcard Nino 39'
  • yellowcard Jeison Lucumi 71'
Segunda Division Gameweek 31
Mar 8, 2020 11.00am
2
3
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Vallecas
  • Mario Suarez 30' goal
  • Luis Advincula 45' yellowcard
  • Isi 63' redcard
  • Antonio Milic 84' yellowcard
  • Joni Montiel 88' goal
  • Alejandro Catena 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Manolin 45'
  • goal Oscar Gil 58'
  • goal Pere Milla 67'
  • yellowcard Oscar Gil 73'
  • goal Daniel Escriche 79'
  • yellowcard Fidel 90'