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Conference League | League Stage
Dec 18, 2025 at 8pm UK
 

vs.

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Conference League clash between Rayo Vallecano and Drita, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 0-0 Betis
Monday, December 15 at 8pm in La Liga
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Last Game: Drita 0-3 AZ
Thursday, December 11 at 5.45pm in Conference League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 59.99%. A draw has a probability of 22.03% and a win for Drita has a probability of 17.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.47%) , while for a Drita win it is 0-1 (5.54%).

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawDrita
59.99% (-2.289 -2.29)22.03% (0.775 0.78)17.98% (1.509 1.51)
Both teams to score 51.28% (0.558 0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.46% (-0.811 -0.81)46.54% (0.806 0.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.18% (-0.765 -0.77)68.81% (0.76000000000001 0.76)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.9% (-0.992 -0.99)15.1% (0.986 0.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.36% (-1.902 -1.9)43.64% (1.897 1.9)
Drita Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.4% (1.345 1.35)39.6% (-1.349 -1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.72% (1.225 1.23)76.28% (-1.229 -1.23)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 59.98%
    Drita 17.98%
    Draw 22.03%
Rayo VallecanoDrawDrita
1-0 @ 11.3% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.68% (-0.39 -0.39)
2-1 @ 9.9% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.73% (-0.498 -0.5)
3-1 @ 6.24% (-0.219 -0.22)
4-0 @ 3.18% (-0.357 -0.36)
4-1 @ 2.95% (-0.212 -0.21)
3-2 @ 2.89% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.37% (-0.045 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.2% (-0.183 -0.18)
5-1 @ 1.12% (-0.123 -0.12)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 59.98%
1-1 @ 10.47% (0.37 0.37)
0-0 @ 5.98% (0.2 0.2)
2-2 @ 4.59% (0.169 0.17)
Other @ 1%
Total : 22.03%
0-1 @ 5.54% (0.379 0.38)
1-2 @ 4.85% (0.34 0.34)
0-2 @ 2.57% (0.262 0.26)
1-3 @ 1.5% (0.155 0.16)
2-3 @ 1.42% (0.102 0.1)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 17.98%