Conference League | League Stage

Dec 18, 2025 at 8pm UK

Rayo Vallecano
3-0
Drita Drita

Lejeune (33'), Gumbau (66'), Espino (83')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Conference League clash between Rayo Vallecano and Drita, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rayo Vallecano

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 3-0 Drita
Thursday, December 18 at 8pm in Conference League

Next Game: Elche vs. Rayo Vallecano
Sunday, December 21 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Drita

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 3-0 Drita
Thursday, December 18 at 8pm in Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 60.25%. A draw had a probability of 21.96% and a win for Drita had a probability of 17.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%) , while for a Drita win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Drita
60.25% ( 0.26)	21.96% ( -0.08)	17.8% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 51.18% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.5% (

0.04)

46.5% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.22% (

0.04)

68.78% (

-0.03)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85% (

0.1)

15% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.54% (

0.18)

43.46% (

-0.18)

Drita Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.21% (

-0.19)

39.79% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.54% (

-0.17)

76.46% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

Rayo Vallecano 60.25%

Drita 17.8%

Draw 21.95%

Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Drita
1-0 @ 11.32% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.74% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.9% 3-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 6.26% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.97% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.45% Total : 60.25%	1-1 @ 10.43% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.97% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.99% Total : 21.95%	0-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.07% Total : 17.8%