Conference League
Dec 18, 2025 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Florian Lejeune 33' goal
  • Florian Lejeune 60' yellowcard
  • Gerard Gumbau 66' goal
  • Alfonso Espino 83' goal
  • yellowcard Blerton Sheji 72'

Rayo Vallecano vs Drita - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Dec 11, 2025 5.45pm
Jagiellonia 1 - 2 Rayo Vallecano

Drita

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Dec 11, 2025 5.45pm
Drita 0 - 3 AZ

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 60.25%. A draw had a probability of 21.96% and a win for Drita had a probability of 17.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%) , while for a Drita win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result

Rayo Vallecano 60.25% (+0.26)
Draw 21.96% (-0.08)
Drita 17.8% (-0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.18% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.5% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 46.5% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 31.22% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 68.78% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 15.52% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 84.48% (-0.03)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5 85% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 15% (-0.10)
Over 1.5 56.54% (+0.19)
Under 1.5 43.46% (-0.18)

Drita Goals

Over 0.5 60.21% (-0.19)
Under 0.5 39.79% (+0.20)
Over 1.5 23.54% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 76.46% (+0.18)

Score analysis

Rayo Vallecano 60.25%
Draw 21.95%
Drita 17.8%
Rayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 11.32% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 10.74% (+0.07)
2-1 @ 9.9%
3-0 @ 6.79% (+0.06)
3-1 @ 6.26% (+0.03)
4-0 @ 3.22% (+0.04)
4-1 @ 2.97% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.37% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.22% (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.13% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 60.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.43% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 5.97% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.56% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 21.95%
Drita
0-1 @ 5.5% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 4.81% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 2.54% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.48% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.4% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 17.8%