Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 53.58%. A draw had a probability of 24.55% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 21.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%) , while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.