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Championship header 2

League Two

MK Dons
League Two | Gameweek 25
Jan 4, 2026 at 12pm UK
 
Chesterfield

MK Dons
vs.
Chesterfield

Coverage of the League Two clash between MK Dons and Chesterfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 1-1 Notts County
Monday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two
Next Game: Colchester vs. MK Dons
Thursday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two

Chesterfield

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Chesterfield 0-1 Cambridge
Monday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two
Next Game: Oldham vs. Chesterfield
Thursday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a MK Dons win with a probability of 45.94%. A win for Chesterfield has a probability of 28.74% and a draw has a probability of 25.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Chesterfield win is 0-1 (7.83%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.02%).

Result
MK DonsDrawChesterfield
45.94% (0.049999999999997 0.05)25.32% (0.023999999999997 0.02)28.74% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Both teams to score 53.85% (-0.126 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.51% (-0.143 -0.14)49.48% (0.141 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.48% (-0.13 -0.13)71.52% (0.128 0.13)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.45% (-0.038000000000011 -0.04)21.54% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.38% (-0.058 -0.06)54.61% (0.055 0.05)
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.64% (-0.128 -0.13)31.35% (0.127 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.28% (-0.15 -0.15)67.72% (0.149 0.15)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 45.93%
    Chesterfield 28.74%
    Draw 25.31%
MK DonsDrawChesterfield
1-0 @ 10.36% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.23% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.96% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.72% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 4.07% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.81% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.56% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 45.93%
1-1 @ 12.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.75% (0.039 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.35% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.31%
0-1 @ 7.83% (0.018 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.98% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.54% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.7% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.07% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.76% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 28.74%

Head to Head
Sep 13, 2025 3pm
Chesterfield
1-1
MK Dons
Jan 1, 2025 3pm
gameweek 24
Chesterfield
1-2
MK Dons
Oldaker (76')
Dobra (45+2'), Mandeville (51'), Colclough (90+4')
Hendry (18'), White (44')
Harrison (14'), Offord (58'), Nemane (75'), Sherring (90+1')
> Preview
Dec 3, 2024 7.45pm
gameweek 18
MK Dons
3-0
Chesterfield
Hogan (1'), Gilbey (26', 82')
Wearne (61')

Oldaker (13'), Araujo (31'), Gordon (84')
Oldaker (24')
Jan 2, 2017 3pm
Chesterfield
0-0
MK Dons
Haynes (66')
Nov 22, 2016 7.45pm
MK Dons
2-3
Chesterfield
Powell (67'), Colclough (73')
O'Shea (32' pen.), Dennis (77'), Gardner (80')
Evatt (33'), O'Shea (65'), O'Neil (66'), Donohue (87'), Gardner (88')