Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a MK Dons win with a probability of 45.94%. A win for Chesterfield has a probability of 28.74% and a draw has a probability of 25.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Chesterfield win is 0-1 (7.83%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.02%).