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MK Dons
League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 29, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
 
Notts County

vs.

Coverage of the League Two clash between MK Dons and Notts County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Harrogate 0-4 MK Dons
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in League Two
Next Game: MK Dons vs. Swindon
Friday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Notts County 0-0 Walsall
Saturday, December 20 at 12.30pm in League Two
Next Game: Chesterfield vs. Notts County
Friday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a MK Dons win with a probability of 38.85%. A win for Notts County has a probability of 35.02% and a draw has a probability of 26.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Notts County win is 0-1 (9.13%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.42%).

Result
MK DonsDrawNotts County
38.85%26.13%35.02%
Both teams to score 53.66%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.15%50.85%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.26%72.73%
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.36%25.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.46%60.54%
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.16%27.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.56%63.44%
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 38.85%
    Notts County 35.02%
    Draw 26.13%
MK DonsDrawNotts County
1-0 @ 9.72%
2-1 @ 8.45%
2-0 @ 6.61%
3-1 @ 3.84%
3-0 @ 3%
3-2 @ 2.45%
4-1 @ 1.31%
4-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 38.85%
1-1 @ 12.42%
0-0 @ 7.14%
2-2 @ 5.41%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.13%
0-1 @ 9.13%
1-2 @ 7.94%
0-2 @ 5.84%
1-3 @ 3.39%
0-3 @ 2.49%
2-3 @ 2.3%
1-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 35.02%

Head to Head
Dec 9, 2025 7.45pm
Notts County
3-2
MK Dons
Dennis (8'), Jatta (26'), Iorpenda (88')
Macarai (45+4'), Dennis (90+8')
Mendez-Laing (3', 13')
Nemane (36'), (36'), Offord (59'), Thompson-Sommers (90+5')
Apr 2, 2025 7.45pm
gameweek 40
Notts County
3-0
MK Dons
McGoldrick (47'), Tsaroulla (54'), Jarvis (74')
Palmer (52'), Edwards (87')

Thompson-Sommers (34'), Gilbey (81')
Dec 26, 2024 3pm
gameweek 22
MK Dons
0-2
Notts County

Kelly (9'), White (18')
Abbott (57'), Crowley (71')
Maynard (10'), Austin (39'), Palmer (82'), Bass (87')
Apr 1, 2024 3pm
gameweek 42
Notts County
3-3
MK Dons
Austin (45+4'), Jatta (48'), Nemane (90+1')
Langstaff (58'), Robertson (90+6')
Dean (19'), Harrison (64', 83')
Norman (39'), Bate (39'), Harvie (90+7')
Sep 9, 2023 3pm
gameweek 7
MK Dons
1-1
Notts County
Harvie (46')
Smith (90+1')
Cameron (66')