Dec 29, 2025 7.45pm

1

1

HT : 0 1

FT

Kane Thompson-Sommers 8'
8'
Alex Gilbey 54'
Callum Paterson 70'

Tom Iorpenda 44'
Matthew Dennis 67'
Tyrese Hall 81'
Kelle Roos 90'

MK Dons vs Notts County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions

W
W
D
L
W
W

League Two

W
W
D
L
W
D

Last game

Dec 26, 2025 3.00pm

MK Dons 1 - 0 Swindon

Goals scored

44

Top scorer

Nathaniel Mendez-Laing

Notts County

All competitions

L
D
W
W
W
L

League Two

L
D
W
W
W
L

Last game

Dec 26, 2025 3.00pm

Chesterfield 2 - 0 Notts County

Goals scored

35

Top scorer

Matthew Dennis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 42.73%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Notts County win was 0-1 (8.39%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result

MK Dons 42.73% ▼ (-0.02)

Draw 25.74% ▲ (+0.01)

Notts County 31.53% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score:

53.96% ▼ (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.97% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 2.5 50.03% ▲ (+0.01)

Over 3.5 27.99% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 3.5 72% ▲ (+0.01)

Over 4.5 13.31% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 4.5 86.69%

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5 76.72% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 0.5 23.27% ▲ (+0.01)

Over 1.5 42.79% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 1.5 57.2% ▲ (+0.01)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5 70.33% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 0.5 29.66% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 1.5 34.28% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 1.5 65.71% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

MK Dons 42.72%

Draw 25.74%

Notts County 31.53%

MK Dons

1-0 @ 10.06%

2-1 @ 8.92% ▼ (-0.01)

2-0 @ 7.34% ▼ (-0.01)

3-1 @ 4.33% ▼ (-0.01)

3-0 @ 3.57% ▼ (-0.01)

3-2 @ 2.63% ▼ (-0.01)

4-1 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.01)

4-0 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 3%

Total : 42.72%

Draw

1-1 @ 12.23%

0-0 @ 6.9% ▲ (+0.01)

2-2 @ 5.42%

3-3 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 0.13%

Total : 25.74%

Notts County

0-1 @ 8.39% ▲ (+0.01)

1-2 @ 7.43% ▲ (+0.01)

0-2 @ 5.1% ▲ (+0.01)

1-3 @ 3.01%

2-3 @ 2.19%

0-3 @ 2.07% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 3.34%

Total : 31.53%

Head to Head

Dec 9, 2025 7.45pm

3

2

HT : 2 2

FT

Matthew Dennis 8'
Alassana Jatta 26'
Lewis Macarai 45'+4'
Tom Iorpenda 88'
Matthew Dennis 90'+8'

Nathaniel Mendez-Laing 3'
Nathaniel Mendez-Laing 13'
Aaron Nemane 36'
36'
Luke Offord 59'
Kane Thompson-Sommers 90'+5'

Apr 2, 2025 7.45pm

3

0

HT : 0 0

FT Meadow Lane Stadium

David McGoldrick 47'
Matt Palmer 52'
Nick Tsaroulla 54'
Will Jarvis 74'
Curtis Edwards 87'

Kane Thompson-Sommers 34'
Alex Gilbey 81'

Dec 26, 2024 3.00pm

0

2

HT : 0 0

FT Stadium mk

Liam Kelly 9'
Joe White 18'

Stuart Maynard 10'
Sam Austin 39'
George Abbott 57'
Dan Crowley 71'
Matt Palmer 82'
Alex Bass 87'

Apr 1, 2024 3.00pm

3

3

HT : 1 1

FT Meadow Lane Stadium

Alassana Jatta 48'
Sam Austin 45'+4'
Macaulay Langstaff 58'
Aaron Nemane 90'+1'
Scott Robertson 90'+6'

Max Dean 19'
Cameron Norman 39'
Lewis Bate 39'
Ellis Harrison 64'
Ellis Harrison 83'
Daniel Harvie 90'+7'

Sep 9, 2023 3.00pm

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT Stadium mk

Daniel Harvie 46'
Tommy Smith 90'+1'

Kyle Cameron 66'

Apr 19, 2019 3.00pm

1

2

HT : 0 0

FT Meadow Lane Stadium (Nottingham, Nottinghamshire)

Craig Mackail-Smith 73'
Ben Barclay 94'

David Wheeler 62'
Chuks Aneke 85'

Form Data

MK Dons 1 - 0 Swindon

Harrogate 0 - 4 MK Dons

MK Dons 1 - 1 Cambridge

Notts County 3 - 2 MK Dons

MK Dons 3 - 1 Oldham

MK Dons 2 - 1 Fleetwood

Chesterfield 2 - 0 Notts County

Notts County 0 - 0 Walsall

Grimsby Town 0 - 2 Notts County

Notts County 3 - 2 MK Dons

Bristol Rovers 0 - 1 Notts County

Notts County 1 - 3 Colchester