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Championship header 2

League Two

Chesterfield
League Two | Gameweek 22
Dec 26, 2025 at 3pm UK
 
Notts County

Chesterfield
vs.
Notts County

Coverage of the League Two clash between Chesterfield and Notts County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chesterfield

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-1 Chesterfield
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in League Two

Notts County

All competitions
Last Game: Notts County 0-0 Walsall
Saturday, December 20 at 12.30pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chesterfield win with a probability of 43.79%. A win for Notts County has a probability of 31.66% and a draw has a probability of 24.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Notts County win is 1-2 (7.53%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.48%).

Result
ChesterfieldDrawNotts County
43.79% (0.276 0.28)24.55% (-0.114 -0.11)31.66% (-0.161 -0.16)
Both teams to score 58.05% (0.321 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.27% (0.451 0.45)44.73% (-0.452 -0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.91% (0.433 0.43)67.09% (-0.434 -0.43)
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.47% (0.31099999999999 0.31)20.53% (-0.313 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.97% (0.49 0.49)53.03% (-0.491 -0.49)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.04% (0.11799999999999 0.12)26.95% (-0.119 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.71% (0.153 0.15)62.29% (-0.154 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Chesterfield 43.79%
    Notts County 31.66%
    Draw 24.54%
ChesterfieldDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 9.09% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.76% (-0.087000000000002 -0.09)
2-0 @ 6.94% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.8% (0.06 0.06)
3-0 @ 3.66% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.15% (0.05 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.9% (0.042 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.45% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.25% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 43.79%
1-1 @ 11.48% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.96% (0.038 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.53% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.54%
1-2 @ 7.53% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.25% (-0.118 -0.12)
0-2 @ 4.76% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.29%
2-3 @ 2.61% (0.025 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.08% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 31.66%

Head to Head
Mar 15, 2025 3pm
gameweek 37
Notts County
1-2
Chesterfield
Jarvis (81')
Pepple (70'), Naylor (88')
Oct 12, 2024 12.30pm
gameweek 11
Chesterfield
2-2
Notts County
Madden (6'), Grigg (74')
Metcalfe (64'), Banks (90'), Naylor (90+3')
Jatta (14'), McGoldrick (90+4')
Palmer (55'), Macarai (64'), Crowley (87')
> Preview
May 13, 2023 3.30pm
Chesterfield
2-2
Notts County
(Aggregate 2-2 | Notts County win 4-3 on penalties)
Dallas (6' pen.), Dobra (93')
Bostock (88'), Rodrigues (108')
> Match Report
Feb 11, 2023 5.20pm
gameweek 28
Chesterfield
1-2
Notts County
Dobra (45+3')
Langstaff (25'), Chicksen (72')
Aug 20, 2022 5.20pm
gameweek 4
Notts County
2-2
Chesterfield
Langstaff (60', 63')
O'Brien (37'), Rodrigues (64')
Mandeville (16'), Asante (55')
King (81'), (90+6')
rhs 2.0


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