League Two
Dec 26, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Kyle McFadzean 15' yellowcard
  • Tom Naylor 19' yellowcard
  • Jamie Grimes 36' yellowcard
  • Lee Bonis 65' goal
  • Kelle Roos 76' goal
  • yellowcard Matthew Dennis 48'
  • yellowcard Nick Tsaroulla 68'
  • yellowcard Lewis Macarai 87'

Chesterfield vs Notts County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chesterfield

All competitions
Last game
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
Shrewsbury 0 - 1 Chesterfield
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Lee Bonis

Notts County

All competitions
Last game
Dec 20, 2025 12.30pm
Notts County 0 - 0 Walsall
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Matthew Dennis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 42.88%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 32.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (7.66%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result

Chesterfield 42.88% (-0.96)
Draw 24.63% (+0.09)
Notts County 32.49% (+0.86)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.12% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.21% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 44.79% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 32.85% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 67.15% (+0.10)
Over 4.5 16.69% (-0.07)
Under 4.5 83.31% (+0.07)

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5 79.03% (-0.47)
Under 0.5 20.97% (+0.47)
Over 1.5 46.28% (-0.74)
Under 1.5 53.72% (+0.74)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5 73.54% (+0.50)
Under 0.5 26.46% (-0.50)
Over 1.5 38.36% (+0.65)
Under 1.5 61.64% (-0.65)

Score analysis

Chesterfield 42.88%
Draw 24.63%
Notts County 32.49%
Chesterfield
2-1 @ 9% (-0.10)
1-0 @ 8.67% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 6.77% (-0.17)
3-1 @ 4.69% (-0.12)
3-0 @ 3.53% (-0.15)
3-2 @ 3.12% (-0.04)
4-1 @ 1.83% (-0.08)
4-0 @ 1.38% (-0.08)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 42.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.52% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.98% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.55% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.38% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.63%
Notts County
1-2 @ 7.66% (+0.14)
0-1 @ 7.38% (+0.14)
0-2 @ 4.9% (+0.16)
1-3 @ 3.39% (+0.11)
2-3 @ 2.65% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 2.17% (+0.10)
1-4 @ 1.13% (+0.05)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 32.49%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 37
Mar 15, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Meadow Lane Stadium
  • Will Jarvis 81' goal
  • goal Aribim Pepple 70'
  • goal Tom Naylor 88'
League Two Gameweek 11
Oct 12, 2024 12.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Technique Stadium
  • Paddy Madden 6' goal
  • Jenson Metcalfe 64' yellowcard
  • Will Grigg 74' goal
  • Oliver Banks 90' yellowcard
  • Tom Naylor 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Alassana Jatta 14'
  • yellowcard Matt Palmer 55'
  • yellowcard Lewis Macarai 64'
  • yellowcard Dan Crowley 87'
  • goal David McGoldrick 90'+4'
National League
May 13, 2023 3.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
ET Wembley Stadium
  • Andy Dallas 6' goal
  • Armando Dobra 93' goal
  • goal John Bostock 88'
  • goal Ruben Rodrigues 108'
National League Gameweek 28
Feb 11, 2023 5.20pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Technique Stadium
  • Armando Dobra 45'+3' goal
  • goal Macaulay Langstaff 25'
  • goal Adam Chicksen 72'
National League Gameweek 4
Aug 20, 2022 5.20pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Meadow Lane Stadium
  • Jim O'Brien 37' yellowcard
  • Macaulay Langstaff 60' goal
  • Macaulay Langstaff 63' goal
  • Ruben Rodrigues 64' yellowcard
  • goal Liam Mandeville 16'
  • goal Akwasi Asante 55'
  • yellowcard Jeff King 81'
  • yellowcard 90'+6'
National League Gameweek 37
Mar 26, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Frank Vincent 39' yellowcard
  • Kyle Wootton 45'+2' goal
  • Dion Kelly-Evans 64' yellowcard
  • Connell Rawlinson 84' yellowcard
  • goal Alex Whittle 13'
  • yellowcard Jeff King 55'
  • yellowcard Curtis Weston 58'
  • yellowcard Joe Quigley 84'