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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 39.59%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 0-1 (8.48%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 39.59% ( | 25.53% ( | 34.89% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.69% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.77% ( | 48.23% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.62% ( | 70.38% ( |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.94% ( | 24.06% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.66% ( | 58.34% ( |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.34% ( | 26.66% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.09% ( | 61.91% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 1-0 @ 9.14% ( 2-1 @ 8.61% ( 2-0 @ 6.51% ( 3-1 @ 4.09% ( 3-0 @ 3.09% ( 3-2 @ 2.7% ( 4-1 @ 1.46% ( 4-0 @ 1.1% ( 4-2 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 1.93% Total : 39.59% | 1-1 @ 12.08% 0-0 @ 6.42% ( 2-2 @ 5.69% ( 3-3 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.53% | 0-1 @ 8.48% ( 1-2 @ 7.99% ( 0-2 @ 5.61% ( 1-3 @ 3.52% ( 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0-3 @ 2.47% ( 1-4 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 3.16% Total : 34.89% |