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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 44.54%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 29.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 0-1 (8.02%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Cambridge United |
| 44.54% ( | 25.46% ( | 29.99% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.15% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.56% ( | 49.44% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.52% ( | 71.48% ( |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.84% ( | 22.16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.44% ( | 55.56% ( |
| Cambridge United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.57% ( | 30.42% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.37% ( | 66.63% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Cambridge United |
| 1-0 @ 10.16% ( 2-1 @ 9.11% ( 2-0 @ 7.65% ( 3-1 @ 4.58% ( 3-0 @ 3.85% ( 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 4-1 @ 1.72% ( 4-0 @ 1.45% ( 4-2 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.28% Total : 44.54% | 1-1 @ 12.08% ( 0-0 @ 6.74% ( 2-2 @ 5.42% ( 3-3 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.45% | 0-1 @ 8.02% ( 1-2 @ 7.19% ( 0-2 @ 4.77% ( 1-3 @ 2.85% ( 2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0-3 @ 1.89% ( Other @ 3.11% Total : 29.99% |