Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 44.54%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 29.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 0-1 (8.02%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.