Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 46.77%. A win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.73%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest FC Eindhoven win was 1-2 (7.59%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.