Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 60.83%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 20.23% and a draw had a probability of 18.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.93%) and 0-1 (7.64%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 2-1 (4.96%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.