Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Helmond Sport win with a probability of 40.21%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 36.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Helmond Sport win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.78%) and 3-1 (5.2%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (8.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.