Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 55.39%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 23.27% and a draw had a probability of 21.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.49%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Willem II win was 2-1 (5.73%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.