Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 54.56%. A win for Roda JC had a probability of 25.06% and a draw had a probability of 20.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.87%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Roda JC win was 2-1 (6.03%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.