Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 40.05%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 36.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.2%) and 0-2 (5.4%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (7.56%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.