Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong FC Utrecht win with a probability of 40.5%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 36.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.92%) and 2-0 (5.54%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 (7.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.