Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 55.64%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 23.32% and a draw had a probability of 21.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.93%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (6.23%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.