Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 45.65%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 21.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.62%) and 0-2 (5.56%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 2-1 (6.73%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.