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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 38.18% and a draw had a probability of 22.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.55%) and 0-2 (4.82%). The likeliest Heracles win was 2-1 (8.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Heracles | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 38.18% ( | 22.49% ( | 39.33% ( |
| Both teams to score 67.42% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.83% ( | 33.17% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.08% ( | 54.92% ( |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.86% ( | 18.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.9% ( | 49.1% ( |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.36% ( | 17.64% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.76% ( | 48.24% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Heracles | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 2-1 @ 8.09% ( 1-0 @ 5.46% ( 2-0 @ 4.66% ( 3-1 @ 4.6% ( 3-2 @ 3.99% ( 3-0 @ 2.65% ( 4-1 @ 1.96% ( 4-2 @ 1.7% ( 4-0 @ 1.13% ( 4-3 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.93% Total : 38.18% | 1-1 @ 9.48% ( 2-2 @ 7.02% ( 0-0 @ 3.2% ( 3-3 @ 2.31% ( Other @ 0.48% Total : 22.49% | 1-2 @ 8.22% ( 0-1 @ 5.55% ( 0-2 @ 4.82% ( 1-3 @ 4.76% ( 2-3 @ 4.06% 0-3 @ 2.79% ( 1-4 @ 2.06% ( 2-4 @ 1.76% 0-4 @ 1.21% ( 3-4 @ 1% Other @ 3.11% Total : 39.33% |