Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 42.38%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 36.44% and a draw had a probability of 21.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.25%) and 2-3 (4.81%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 2-1 (7.33%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.