Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Dec 6, 2025 3.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Luuk Brouwers 35' yellowcard
  • goal Joey Veerman 22'
  • goal Ricardo Pepi 27'

Heerenveen vs PSV Eindhoven - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Heerenveen

All competitions
Last game
Nov 28, 2025 7.00pm
PEC Zwolle 2 - 1 Heerenveen
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Jacob Trenskow

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions
Last game
Nov 30, 2025 11.15am
PSV 3 - 0 Volendam
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Ricardo Pepi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 42.38%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 36.44% and a draw had a probability of 21.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.25%) and 2-3 (4.81%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 2-1 (7.33%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result

Heerenveen 36.44%
Draw 21.19%
PSV Eindhoven 42.38%

Both Teams to Score: 

72.45%

Goals

Over 2.5 73.37%
Under 2.5 26.63%
Over 3.5 52.98%
Under 3.5 47.02%
Over 4.5 33.53%
Under 4.5 66.48%

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5 84%
Under 0.5 16%
Over 1.5 54.68%
Under 1.5 45.32%

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5 86.25%
Under 0.5 13.76%
Over 1.5 58.95%
Under 1.5 41.05%

Score analysis

Heerenveen 36.44%
Draw 21.19%
PSV Eindhoven 42.38%
Heerenveen
2-1 @ 7.33%
3-1 @ 4.48%
3-2 @ 4.44%
1-0 @ 4.04%
2-0 @ 3.7%
3-0 @ 2.26%
4-1 @ 2.05%
4-2 @ 2.04%
4-3 @ 1.35%
4-0 @ 1.04%
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 36.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 8%
2-2 @ 7.27%
3-3 @ 2.94%
0-0 @ 2.2%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 21.19%
PSV Eindhoven
1-2 @ 7.94%
1-3 @ 5.25%
2-3 @ 4.81%
0-1 @ 4.37%
0-2 @ 4.33%
0-3 @ 2.86%
1-4 @ 2.6%
2-4 @ 2.38%
3-4 @ 1.46%
0-4 @ 1.42%
1-5 @ 1.03%
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 42.38%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 25
Mar 8, 2025 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Philips Stadion
  • Ismael Saibari 40' goal
  • Richard Ledezma 54' yellowcard
  • Guus Til 57' goal
  • Ivan Perisic 85' yellowcard
  • goal Levi Smans 72'
  • yellowcard Alireza Jahanbakhsh 83'
Eredivisie Gameweek 16
Dec 14, 2024 5.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Abe Lenstra Stadion
  • Ion Nicolaescu 73' goal
Eredivisie Gameweek 31
Apr 25, 2024 5.45pm
0
8
HT : 0 5
FT Abe Lenstra Stadion
  • goal Guus Til 7'
  • goal Malik Tillman 9'
  • goal Malik Tillman 11'
  • goal Guus Til 30'
  • goal Joey Veerman 44'
  • goal Johan Bakayoko 52'
  • goal Luuk de Jong 71'
  • goal Patrick van Aanholt 83'
Eredivisie Gameweek 15
Dec 7, 2023 5.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Philips Stadion
  • Guus Til 33' goal
  • Andre Ramalho 42' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Pepi 78' goal
  • Ricardo Pepi 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Patrik Walemark 90'
Eredivisie Gameweek 33
May 21, 2023 1.30pm
3
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Ibrahim Sangare 14' goal
  • Luuk de Jong 79' goal
  • Xavi Simons 86' goal
  • goal Milan van Ewijk 33'
  • goal Antoine Colassin 45'+1'
  • goal Antoine Colassin 58'
Eredivisie Gameweek 9
Oct 9, 2022 3.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Cody Gakpo 75'