Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 45.41%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 22.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.25%) and 0-2 (5.7%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 2-1 (7.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.