Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 38.78%. A win for FCSB had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest FCSB win was 2-1 (8.19%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.