Eerste Divisie Gameweek 25
Feb 2, 2026 7.00pm
Sportpark De Toekomst

Jong Ajax vs Willem II - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Jong Ajax

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 3.30pm
Emmen 0 - 0 Jong Ajax
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Don-Angelo Christoffel Annum-Assamoah Konadu

Willem II

All competitions
Last game
Jan 23, 2026 7.00pm
Willem II 2 - 1 VVV-Venlo
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Devin Haen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Willem II win with a probability of 47.12%. A win for Jong Ajax has a probability of 29.35% and a draw has a probability of 23.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.09%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win is 2-1 (6.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.88%).

Result

Jong Ajax 29.35% (+0.11)
Draw 23.54% (-0.08)
Willem II 47.12% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.74% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.53% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 19.47% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 58.14% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 41.86% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 36.53% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 63.47% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 21.25%
Under 4.5 78.75%

First Half Winner

Jong Ajax 28.67% (+0.06)
Draw 37.59% (-0.08)
Willem II 33.74% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Jong Ajax 41.87% (+0.08)
No Goal 4.91% (-0.01)
Willem II 53.22% (-0.07)

Corners

Over 8 70.21% (+0.24)
Equal 8 9.63% (-0.02)
Under 8 20.16% (-0.22)
Over 9 59.36% (+0.25)
Equal 9 10.85% (-0.01)
Under 9 29.79% (-0.25)
Over 10.5 48.16% (+0.23)
Under 10.5 51.84% (-0.23)

Jong Ajax Goals

Over 1.5 34.76% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 65.24% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 13.33% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 86.67% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 4.32% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 95.68% (-0.02)

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5 78.38% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 21.62% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 49.34% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 50.66% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 24.29% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 75.71% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 8.88% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 91.12% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Jong Ajax 29.34%
Draw 23.53%
Willem II 47.13%
Jong Ajax
2-1 @ 6.65% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 6.47% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 4.47% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.42% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.56%
3-0 @ 1.57%
Other @ 4.2% (+0.04)
Total : 29.34%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.88% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 6.16% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.91% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.46% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.12% (-0.02)
Total : 23.53%
Willem II
1-2 @ 9.29%
0-1 @ 8.09% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 7.04% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.7% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 4.15% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 4.1% (+0.01)
Other @ 8.76% (-0.03)
Total : 47.13%

Head to Head

Eerste Divisie
Sep 19, 2025 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 22
Jan 19, 2024 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Koning Willem II Stadion
  • Ringo Meerveld 6' goal
  • Raffael Behounek 35' yellowcard
  • Michael de Leeuw 61' yellowcard
  • goal Gabriel Misehouy 14'
  • yellowcard Raphael Sarfo 21'
  • yellowcard Nassef Chourak 56'
  • yellowcard Alvaro Henry 73'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 13
Nov 6, 2023 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Sportpark De Toekomst
  • Stanis Idumbo 9' goal
  • Julian Brandes 31' yellowcard
  • Jaydon Banel 50' yellowcard
  • Tristan Gooijer 82' yellowcard
  • Anass Salah-Eddine 89' yellowcard
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 26
Feb 24, 2023 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Freek Heerkens 11' goal
  • Max Svensson 25' goal
  • goal Kristian Hlynsson 45'+1'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 13
Oct 31, 2022 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Sontje Hansen 21' goal
  • goal Jeremy Bokila 48'
  • goal Lucas Woudenberg 75'