Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 60.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.15% and a win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 19.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.93%) and 0-1 (7.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%) , while for a Helmond Sport win it was 2-1 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.