Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 58.62%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 20.83% and a draw had a probability of 20.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Almere City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 1-2 (5.78%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.