Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Helmond Sport win with a probability of 49.57%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 27.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Helmond Sport win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.98%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 1-2 (7.01%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.