Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Den Bosch win with a probability of 48.98%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 21.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Den Bosch win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.78%) and 3-1 (6.12%). The likeliest Emmen win was 1-2 (6.71%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.