Eerste Divisie Gameweek 25
Jan 31, 2026 3.30pm
SolarUnie Stadion

Helmond Sport vs De Graafschap - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Helmond Sport

All competitions
Last game
Jan 26, 2026 7.00pm
Jong PSV 4 - 0 Helmond
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Maik Lukowicz

De Graafschap

All competitions
Last game
Jan 26, 2026 7.00pm
De Graafschap 1 - 1 Den Bosch
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Bouke Boersma

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Helmond Sport win with a probability of 39.01%. A win for De Graafschap has a probability of 38.95% and a draw has a probability of 22.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Helmond Sport win is 2-1 with a probability of 7.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-1 (5.3%) and 1-0 (4.98%). The likeliest De Graafschap win is 1-2 (7.7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.83%).

Result

Helmond Sport 39.01% (-0.07)
Draw 22.05% (+0.40)
De Graafschap 38.95% (-0.27)

Both Teams to Score: 

69.27% (-0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 87.48% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 12.52% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 69.87% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 30.13% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 49.69% (-0.20)
Under 3.5 50.31% (+0.20)
Over 4.5 32.29% (-0.18)
Under 4.5 67.71% (+0.17)

First Half Winner

Helmond Sport 33.75% (+0.30)
Draw 33.09% (-0.18)
De Graafschap 33.15% (-0.14)

Team To Score First

Helmond Sport 47.53% (+0.06)
No Goal 2.76% (+0.05)
De Graafschap 49.71% (-0.11)

Corners

Over 8 79.69% (+0.33)
Equal 8 7.52% (-0.05)
Under 8 12.78% (-0.32)
Over 9 70.41% (+0.33)
Equal 9 9.28%
Under 9 20.3% (-0.34)
Over 10.5 59.95% (+0.31)
Under 10.5 40.05% (-0.31)

Helmond Sport Goals

Over 1.5 48.8% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 51.2% (-0.16)
Over 2.5 24.96% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 75.04% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 10.47% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 89.53% (-0.02)

De Graafschap Goals

Over 0.5 75.06% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 24.94% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 48.83% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 51.17% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 25.24% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 74.76% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 11.31% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 88.69% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Helmond Sport 38.99%
Draw 22.05%
De Graafschap 38.95%
Helmond Sport
2-1 @ 7.33% (+0.08)
3-1 @ 5.3% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 4.98% (-0.07)
2-0 @ 4.63% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 4.19% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 2.55% (+0.07)
Other @ 10.01% (-0.06)
Total : 38.99%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.83% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 7.55% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 2.76% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 2.45% (+0.10)
Other @ 0.46% (+0.08)
Total : 22.05%
De Graafschap
1-2 @ 7.7% (+0.04)
0-1 @ 4.77% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.55% (-0.09)
2-3 @ 4.33% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 4.15% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 2.6% (+0.07)
Other @ 10.85% (-0.15)
Total : 38.95%

Head to Head

Eerste Divisie
Nov 21, 2025 7.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 38
May 9, 2025 7.00pm
1
4
HT : 1 1
FT SolarUnie Stadion
  • Jonas Scholz 24' goal
  • goal Mimoun Mahi 31'
  • goal Jack Cooper Love 50'
  • goal Jack Cooper Love 52'
  • yellowcard Wanya Marcal 58'
  • goal Philip Brittijn 74'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 6
Sep 13, 2024 7.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 2
FT Stadion De Vijverberg
  • Arjen van der Heide 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Ibrahim El Kadiri 68' goal
  • Anass Najah 86' yellowcard
  • Yannick Fereira Eduardo 90'+2' goal
  • goal Theo Golliard 12'
  • goal Dario Sits 27'
  • yellowcard Jonas Scholz 45'
  • yellowcard Justin Ogenia 49'
  • goal Jonas Scholz 83'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 26
Feb 16, 2024 7.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT SolarUnie Stadion
  • Alvaro Marin 26' goal
  • Alvaro Marin 43' goal
  • Martijn Kaars 90'+5' goal
  • goal Simon Colyn 18'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 5
Sep 18, 2023 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion De Vijverberg
  • Basar Onal 44' goal
  • Basar Onal 55' goal
  • yellowcard Giannis-Foivos Botos 59'
  • yellowcard Enrik Ostrc 59'
  • yellowcard Martijn Kaars 60'
  • goal Alvaro Marin Sesma 90'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 27
Mar 6, 2023 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Devin Haen 15' goal
  • Devin Haen 49' goal