Eerste Divisie Gameweek 28
Feb 20, 2026 7.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Koning Willem II Stadion
  • Justin Hoogma 18' goal
  • Armin Culum 32' goal
  • Jens Mathijsen 46' yellowcard
  • Uriël van Aalst 65' yellowcard
  • Raffael Behounek 74' goal
  • Samuel Bamba 75' yellowcard
  • Gijs Besselink 75' yellowcard
  • Gijs Besselink 76' yellowcard
  • Siegert Baartmans 88' yellowcard
  • Per van Loon 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Naoufal Bannis 68'
  • yellowcard Nino Zonneveld 68'
  • yellowcard Yuval Ranon 84'
  • yellowcard Koen te Veluwe 84'
  • yellowcard Youssef Ouallil 89'

Willem II vs Vitesse - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Willem II

All competitions
Last game
Feb 16, 2026 7.00pm
Jong Utrecht 1 - 1 Willem II
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Devin Haen

Vitesse

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 3.30pm
Vitesse 2 - 2 VVV-Venlo
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Naoufal Bannis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 46.05%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.4%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (7.39%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result

Willem II 46.05% (-1.42)
Draw 23.22% (+0.74)
Vitesse 30.73% (+0.68)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.27% (-0.19)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.25% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 16.75% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 63.04% (+0.29)
Under 2.5 36.97% (-0.28)
Over 3.5 41.33% (-1.42)
Under 3.5 58.67% (+1.42)
Over 4.5 25.43% (-0.70)
Under 4.5 74.57% (+0.70)

First Half Winner

Willem II 35.24% (+0.72)
Draw 39.15% (+0.61)
Vitesse 25.61% (-1.31)

Team To Score First

Willem II 53.35% (-2.23)
No Goal 4.05% (+0.28)
Vitesse 42.6% (+1.96)

Corners

Over 8 67.36% (+1.32)
Equal 8 10.57% (-0.26)
Under 8 22.07% (-1.06)
Over 9 55.68% (+1.47)
Equal 9 11.68% (-0.17)
Under 9 32.64% (-1.32)
Over 10.5 43.93% (+1.50)
Under 10.5 56.07% (-1.50)

Willem II Goals

Over 1.5 51.11% (-0.79)
Under 1.5 48.89% (+0.79)
Over 2.5 26.21% (-0.74)
Under 2.5 73.79% (+0.75)
Over 3.5 10.48% (-0.21)
Under 3.5 89.52% (+0.21)

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5 68.49% (+0.16)
Under 0.5 31.51% (-0.17)
Over 1.5 38.71% (+0.53)
Under 1.5 61.29% (-0.53)
Over 2.5 16.66% (+0.34)
Under 2.5 83.34% (-0.35)
Over 3.5 5.35%
Under 3.5 94.65%

Score analysis

Willem II 46.05%
Draw 23.22%
Vitesse 30.73%
Willem II
2-1 @ 8.78% (+0.14)
1-0 @ 7.4% (-0.30)
2-0 @ 6.22% (-0.17)
3-1 @ 5.64% (-0.54)
3-2 @ 4.17% (-0.59)
3-0 @ 3.6% (+0.33)
Other @ 10.24% (-0.29)
Total : 46.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.06% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 6.55% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 4.05% (+0.28)
3-3 @ 2.32% (+0.27)
Other @ 0.24% (+0.08)
Total : 23.22%
Vitesse
1-2 @ 7.39% (+0.83)
0-1 @ 5.3% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.94% (-0.12)
1-3 @ 3.71% (-0.25)
2-3 @ 3.35% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 1.93% (+0.40)
Other @ 5.11% (-0.09)
Total : 30.73%

Head to Head

Eerste Divisie
Sep 27, 2025 3.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie Gameweek 27
Apr 24, 2022 11.15am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jizz Hornkamp 4' goal
  • yellowcard Jacob Rasmussen 55'
  • yellowcard Riechedly Bazoer 57'
  • yellowcard Sondre Tronstad 62'
  • yellowcard Matus Bero 79'
Eredivisie Gameweek 2
Aug 22, 2021 3.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Alois Oroz 24' yellowcard
  • Matus Bero 56' yellowcard
  • Oussama Tannane 65' yellowcard
  • Maximilian Wittek 78' yellowcard
  • goal Kwasi Okyere Wriedt 17'
  • yellowcard Ulrik Jenssen 28'
  • goal Che Nunnely 35'
  • yellowcard Elton Kabangu 71'
  • goal Wesley Spieringhs 81'
Eredivisie Gameweek 27
Mar 21, 2021 1.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jacob Rasmussen 20' yellowcard
  • Oussama Tannane 54' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Wesley Spieringhs 24'
Eredivisie Gameweek 7
Oct 31, 2020 8.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Leeroy Owusu 6' yellowcard
  • Che Nunnely 25' goal
  • Jordens Peters 62' yellowcard
  • Vangelis Pavlidis 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Idrissa Toure 20'
  • goal Lois Openda 57'
  • goal Armando Broja 63'
  • goal Patrick Vroegh 85'
  • yellowcard Riechedly Bazoer 90'
Eredivisie Gameweek 28
Mar 21, 2020 6.45pm
Gelredome