Eerste Divisie Gameweek 28
Feb 20, 2026 7.00pm
Koning Willem II Stadion

Willem II vs Vitesse - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Willem II

All competitions
Last game
Feb 16, 2026 7.00pm
Jong Utrecht 1 - 1 Willem II
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Devin Haen

Vitesse

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 3.30pm
Vitesse 0 - 0 VVV-Venlo
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Nino Zonneveld

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Willem II win with a probability of 46.05%. A win for Vitesse has a probability of 30.73% and a draw has a probability of 23.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.4%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Vitesse win is 1-2 (7.39%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.06%).

Result

Willem II 46.05% (-1.42)
Draw 23.22% (+0.74)
Vitesse 30.73% (+0.68)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.27% (-0.19)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.25% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 16.75% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 63.04% (+0.29)
Under 2.5 36.97% (-0.28)
Over 3.5 41.33% (-1.42)
Under 3.5 58.67% (+1.42)
Over 4.5 25.43% (-0.70)
Under 4.5 74.57% (+0.70)

First Half Winner

Willem II 35.24% (+0.72)
Draw 39.15% (+0.61)
Vitesse 25.61% (-1.31)

Team To Score First

Willem II 53.35% (-2.23)
No Goal 4.05% (+0.28)
Vitesse 42.6% (+1.96)

Corners

Over 8 67.36% (+1.32)
Equal 8 10.57% (-0.26)
Under 8 22.07% (-1.06)
Over 9 55.68% (+1.47)
Equal 9 11.68% (-0.17)
Under 9 32.64% (-1.32)
Over 10.5 43.93% (+1.50)
Under 10.5 56.07% (-1.50)

Willem II Goals

Over 1.5 51.11% (-0.79)
Under 1.5 48.89% (+0.79)
Over 2.5 26.21% (-0.74)
Under 2.5 73.79% (+0.75)
Over 3.5 10.48% (-0.21)
Under 3.5 89.52% (+0.21)

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5 68.49% (+0.16)
Under 0.5 31.51% (-0.17)
Over 1.5 38.71% (+0.53)
Under 1.5 61.29% (-0.53)
Over 2.5 16.66% (+0.34)
Under 2.5 83.34% (-0.35)
Over 3.5 5.35%
Under 3.5 94.65%

Score analysis

Willem II 46.05%
Draw 23.22%
Vitesse 30.73%
Willem II
2-1 @ 8.78% (+0.14)
1-0 @ 7.4% (-0.30)
2-0 @ 6.22% (-0.17)
3-1 @ 5.64% (-0.54)
3-2 @ 4.17% (-0.59)
3-0 @ 3.6% (+0.33)
Other @ 10.24% (-0.29)
Total : 46.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.06% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 6.55% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 4.05% (+0.28)
3-3 @ 2.32% (+0.27)
Other @ 0.24% (+0.08)
Total : 23.22%
Vitesse
1-2 @ 7.39% (+0.83)
0-1 @ 5.3% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.94% (-0.12)
1-3 @ 3.71% (-0.25)
2-3 @ 3.35% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 1.93% (+0.40)
Other @ 5.11% (-0.09)
Total : 30.73%

Head to Head

Eerste Divisie
Sep 27, 2025 3.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie Gameweek 27
Apr 24, 2022 11.15am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jizz Hornkamp 4' goal
  • yellowcard Jacob Rasmussen 55'
  • yellowcard Riechedly Bazoer 57'
  • yellowcard Sondre Tronstad 62'
  • yellowcard Matus Bero 79'
Eredivisie Gameweek 2
Aug 22, 2021 3.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Alois Oroz 24' yellowcard
  • Matus Bero 56' yellowcard
  • Oussama Tannane 65' yellowcard
  • Maximilian Wittek 78' yellowcard
  • goal Kwasi Okyere Wriedt 17'
  • yellowcard Ulrik Jenssen 28'
  • goal Che Nunnely 35'
  • yellowcard Elton Kabangu 71'
  • goal Wesley Spieringhs 81'
Eredivisie Gameweek 27
Mar 21, 2021 1.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jacob Rasmussen 20' yellowcard
  • Oussama Tannane 54' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Wesley Spieringhs 24'
Eredivisie Gameweek 7
Oct 31, 2020 8.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Leeroy Owusu 6' yellowcard
  • Che Nunnely 25' goal
  • Jordens Peters 62' yellowcard
  • Vangelis Pavlidis 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Idrissa Toure 20'
  • goal Lois Openda 57'
  • goal Armando Broja 63'
  • goal Patrick Vroegh 85'
  • yellowcard Riechedly Bazoer 90'
Eredivisie Gameweek 28
Mar 21, 2020 6.45pm
Gelredome