Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 48.84%. A win for TOP Oss had a probability of 27.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.73%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest TOP Oss win was 2-1 (6.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.