Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elversberg win with a probability of 40.14%. A win for Basel had a probability of 37.37% and a draw had a probability of 22.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elversberg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.88%) and 2-0 (5.23%). The likeliest Basel win was 1-2 (8.4%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%).