Luzern
Swiss Super League
Dec 17, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
 
Basel

1-2

Vonmoos (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Broschinski (49'), Koindredi (75' pen.)
Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Luzern and Basel.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luzern 1-2 Basel
Wednesday, December 17 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League
Next Game: Lausanne vs. Luzern
Sunday, December 21 at 1pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Luzern 1-2 Basel
Wednesday, December 17 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League
Next Game: Basel vs. Servette
Saturday, December 20 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 42.76%. A win for Luzern had a probability of 34.67% and a draw had a probability of 22.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.03%) and 0-2 (5.41%). The likeliest Luzern win was 2-1 (7.71%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
LuzernDrawBasel
34.67% (-0.88200000000001 -0.88)22.57% (0.187 0.19)42.76% (0.7 0.7)
Both teams to score 66.51% (-0.956 -0.96)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.87% (-1.153 -1.15)34.13% (1.159 1.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.99% (-1.316 -1.32)56.01% (1.321 1.32)
Luzern Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.78% (-0.95699999999999 -0.96)20.22% (0.964 0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.46% (-1.557 -1.56)52.54% (1.563 1.56)
Basel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.36% (-0.19200000000001 -0.19)16.64% (0.197 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.52% (-0.348 -0.35)46.48% (0.354 0.35)
Score Analysis
    Luzern 34.67%
    Basel 42.76%
    Draw 22.57%
LuzernDrawBasel
2-1 @ 7.71% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
1-0 @ 5.38% (0.162 0.16)
2-0 @ 4.3% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 4.11% (-0.151 -0.15)
3-2 @ 3.68% (-0.16 -0.16)
3-0 @ 2.29% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.64% (-0.112 -0.11)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.111 -0.11)
4-0 @ 0.92% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 34.67%
1-1 @ 9.65% (0.229 0.23)
2-2 @ 6.91% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-0 @ 3.36% (0.198 0.2)
3-3 @ 2.2% (-0.111 -0.11)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 22.57%
1-2 @ 8.65% (0.149 0.15)
0-1 @ 6.03% (0.317 0.32)
0-2 @ 5.41% (0.251 0.25)
1-3 @ 5.17% (0.056 0.06)
2-3 @ 4.13% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-3 @ 3.23% (0.13 0.13)
1-4 @ 2.32% (0.01 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.85% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.45% (0.049 0.05)
3-4 @ 0.99% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 42.76%

Head to Head
Sep 28, 2025 3.30pm
May 24, 2025 5pm
gameweek 38
Basel
4-0
Luzern
Ajeti (18'), Otele (40'), Kade (55'), Traore (69')
Kade (49'), Adjei Adjetey (63')

Rrudhani (29'), Dorn (84')
Mar 9, 2025 3.30pm
gameweek 27
Luzern
1-1
Basel
Knezevic (78')
Traore (41')
Leon Barisic (31'), Mendes (76')
Feb 6, 2025 7.30pm
gameweek 22
Basel
2-1
Luzern
Shaqiri (4' pen., 57' pen.)
Avdullahu (51'), Mendes (89'), Baro (90+3')
Winkler (1')
Knezevic (58'), Kadak (81')
Cigaņiks (90+4')
Sep 29, 2024 3.30pm
gameweek 8
Luzern
1-0
Basel
Jaquez (78')
Beloko (48'), Ottiger (87')

Vouilloz (45+4'), Avdullahu (56'), Fink (85')