Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough Under-21s win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 34.37% and a draw had a probability of 21.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.63%) and 1-3 (5.16%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.2%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.