Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Fe win with a probability of 36.1%. A win for Deportivo Tachira had a probability of 35.58% and a draw had a probability of 28.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Fe win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Deportivo Tachira win was 0-1 (11.07%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.