Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

May 7, 2025 at 11pm UK

Estadio Polideportivo de Pueblo Nuevo

Tachira
2 - 3
LDU Quito

Hernandez (67'), Castillo (90+5')
Castillo (21')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Alzugaray (16'), Arce (19', 54')
Aimar (7'), Gruezo (77'), Minda (88'), Villamil (90+6')
Ramirez (21')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Deportivo Tachira and LDU Quito.

Form, Standings, Stats

Deportivo Tachira

Last Game: C. Cordoba 2-1 Tachira
Thursday, April 24 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

LDU Quito

Last Game: LDU Quito 0-0 Flamengo
Tuesday, April 22 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Tachira win with a probability of 43.62%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for LDU Quito had a probability of 28.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Tachira win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.64%) and 2-1 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for a LDU Quito win it was 0-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Deportivo Tachira	Draw	LDU Quito
43.62% ( 0.01)	28.25% ( -0.02)	28.13% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 44.92% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.19% (

0.06)

60.81% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.15% (

0.05)

80.85% (

-0.05)

Deportivo Tachira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.29% (

0.03)

27.71% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.73% (

0.04)

63.27% (

-0.04)

LDU Quito Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.13% (

0.05)

37.86% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.36% (

0.05)

74.64% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Deportivo Tachira 43.61%

LDU Quito 28.12%

Draw 28.25%

Deportivo Tachira	Draw	LDU Quito
1-0 @ 13.46% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.64% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.7% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 1.75% Total : 43.61%	1-1 @ 13.07% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.49% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.25%	0-1 @ 10.18% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.95% 1-3 @ 2.06% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.6% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0) Other @ 1.67% Total : 28.12%