Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 51.59%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for LDU Quito had a probability of 23.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.73%) and 1-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a LDU Quito win it was 1-0 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.