Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 54.89%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Vitoria had a probability of 20.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.6%) and 1-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Vitoria win it was 1-0 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
Vitoria	Draw	Flamengo
20.56% ( -2.25)	24.55% ( -0.68)	54.89% ( 2.94)

Both teams to score 47.92% (

-0.91)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.78% (

0.28)

53.22% (

-0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.22% (

0.24)

74.78% (

-0.24)

Vitoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.38% (

-2.11)

40.61% (

2.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.79% (

-1.96)

77.21% (

1.96)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.69% (

1.29)

19.31% (

-1.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.93% (

2.08)

51.07% (

-2.07)

Score Analysis

Vitoria 20.56%

Flamengo 54.88%

Draw 24.55%

Vitoria	Draw	Flamengo
1-0 @ 7.07% ( -0.5) 2-1 @ 5.24% ( -0.47) 2-0 @ 3.18% ( -0.43) 3-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.19) Other @ 1.25% Total : 20.56%	1-1 @ 11.62% ( -0.34) 0-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.78% Total : 24.55%	0-1 @ 12.89% ( 0.36) 0-2 @ 10.6% ( 0.7) 1-2 @ 9.56% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 5.81% ( 0.6) 1-3 @ 5.24% ( 0.26) 0-4 @ 2.39% ( 0.33) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.15% ( 0.19) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.91% Total : 54.88%