Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Criciuma win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Vitoria had a probability of 28.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Criciuma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Vitoria win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Vitoria would win this match.

Result
Criciuma	Draw	Vitoria
44.7% ( 0.02)	26.62%	28.68% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 49.8% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.26% (

-0.01)

54.74% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.94% (

-0.01)

76.05% (

0.01)

Criciuma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.62% (

24.38% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.21% (

58.79% (

-0)

Vitoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.85% (

-0.02)

34.15% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.16% (

-0.02)

70.84% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Criciuma 44.69%

Vitoria 28.68%

Draw 26.62%

Criciuma	Draw	Vitoria
1-0 @ 11.74% 2-1 @ 8.91% 2-0 @ 8.29% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.19% 3-0 @ 3.9% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.48% 4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0) Other @ 2.55% Total : 44.69%	1-1 @ 12.62% 0-0 @ 8.32% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0) Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.62%	0-1 @ 8.94% 1-2 @ 6.78% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.81% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.43% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.72% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0) Other @ 2.28% Total : 28.68%