Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for Corinthians had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.82%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Corinthians win was 0-1 (11.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Vitoria	Draw	Corinthians
38.8% ( 0.15)	28.93% ( 0.09)	32.26% ( -0.25)

Both teams to score 44.7% (

-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.13% (

-0.35)

61.87% (

0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.36% (

-0.26)

81.64% (

0.26)

Vitoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.04% (

-0.09)

30.95% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.75% (

-0.1)

67.25% (

0.1)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.73% (

-0.37)

35.26% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.98% (

-0.38)

72.02% (

0.38)

Score Analysis

Vitoria 38.8%

Corinthians 32.26%

Draw 28.93%

Vitoria	Draw	Corinthians
1-0 @ 12.8% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 7.82% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.09% Total : 38.8%	1-1 @ 13.34% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.91% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.93%	0-1 @ 11.37% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.95% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.11% Total : 32.26%