Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 46.33%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 25.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.53%) and 2-1 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.