Corinthians
Copa Sudamericana | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Oct 25, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Arena Corinthians

Corinthians
2 - 2
Racing

Alberto (11', 11', 33', 33')
Depay (75'), Depay (75')
FT(HT: 4-2)
Salas (6', 6'), Martirena (54', 54')
Ignacio Nardoni (71'), Ignacio Nardoni (71'), Martinez (82'), Arias (82'), Martinez (82'), Arias (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Corinthians and Racing Club, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Corinthians

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Corinthians 0-0 Flamengo
Sunday, October 20 at 8pm in Copa do Brasil

Racing Club

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Racing 4-3 Defensa
Saturday, October 19 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Racing Club had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Racing Club win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
CorinthiansDrawRacing Club
42.39% (-0.719 -0.72)27.39% (0.174 0.17)30.22% (0.542 0.54)
Both teams to score 48.35% (-0.26 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.03% (-0.453 -0.45)56.97% (0.451 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.12% (-0.364 -0.36)77.87% (0.361 0.36)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.44% (-0.58499999999999 -0.58)26.56% (0.581 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.22% (-0.78 -0.78)61.77% (0.779 0.78)
Racing Club Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.84% (0.167 0.17)34.15% (-0.169 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.15% (0.18 0.18)70.84% (-0.18300000000001 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Corinthians 42.38%
    Racing Club 30.22%
    Draw 27.39%
CorinthiansDrawRacing Club
1-0 @ 12.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.56% (-0.098000000000001 -0.1)
2-0 @ 7.97% (-0.128 -0.13)
3-1 @ 3.79% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-0 @ 3.52% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.03% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.058 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.17% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 42.38%
1-1 @ 12.92% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 9.07% (0.155 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.6% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.39%
0-1 @ 9.75% (0.211 0.21)
1-2 @ 6.94% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
0-2 @ 5.24% (0.137 0.14)
1-3 @ 2.49% (0.036 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.88% (0.058 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 30.22%

How you voted: Corinthians vs Racing

Corinthians
68.2%
Draw
18.2%
Racing Club
13.6%
22
Head to Head
Feb 28, 2019 12.30am
First stage
Racing
1-1
Corinthians
(Aggregate 1-1 | Corinthians win 5-4 on penalties)
Cristaldo (42')
Schlegel (31')
Love (51')
Henrique (31'), Pedrinho (34')
Feb 14, 2019 11.30pm
First stage
Corinthians
1-1
Racing
Gustavo (88')
Love (15'), Ramiro (45')
Rios (23')
Saravia (58'), Cardozo (65'), Solari (74'), Sigali (88')