Corinthians
Copa Sudamericana | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Sep 25, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Arena Corinthians
Fortaleza

Corinthians
3 - 0
Fortaleza

Romero (55', 55'), Coronado (59', 59'), Henrique (81', 81')
Matheuzinho (63'), Matheuzinho (63')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Martinez (23'), Martinez (23'), Kayzer (45'), Kayzer (45'), Lopes (63'), Lopes (63'), Britez (70'), Britez (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Corinthians and Fortaleza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Corinthians

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Corinthians 3-0 Atletico GO
Saturday, September 21 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Fortaleza

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Fortaleza 4-1 Bahia
Sunday, September 22 at 1am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 56.15%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 20.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.

Result
CorinthiansDrawFortaleza
56.15%23.62% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)20.22% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.13% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.99% (-0.055 -0.05)50.01% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.01% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)71.99% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.36% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)17.63% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.76% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)48.24% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.86% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)39.13% (0.041999999999994 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.15% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)75.85% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Corinthians 56.15%
    Fortaleza 20.22%
    Draw 23.62%
CorinthiansDrawFortaleza
1-0 @ 11.97% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.39% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 6.01% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 5.64% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.61%
4-1 @ 2.45% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 56.15%
1-1 @ 11.23%
0-0 @ 6.9% (0.014 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.57% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 23.62%
0-1 @ 6.47% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.43% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 20.22%

How you voted: Corinthians vs Fortaleza

Corinthians
75.0%
Draw
14.3%
Fortaleza
10.7%
28
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2024 1.30am
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Fortaleza
0-2
Corinthians
Coronado (39'), Alberto (90')
Alberto (90'), Garro (90+4')
> Preview
Aug 25, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 24
Fortaleza
1-0
Corinthians
Pikachu (77')
Hercules (35'), Cardona (55'), Kayzer (82')

Henrique (42'), Charles (70'), Ramalho (73')
May 5, 2024 1am
Gameweek 5
Corinthians
0-0
Fortaleza
Raniele (45')
Lopes (23'), Tinga (41'), Britez (64'), Pikachu (71'), Augusto (72'), Pacheco (83'), Marinho (90+5')
Oct 4, 2023 1.30am
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
Fortaleza
2-0
Corinthians
Pikachu (49'), Tinga (55')
Pochettino (28'), Welison (62')
> Preview
Sep 27, 2023 1.30am
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Corinthians
1-1
Fortaleza
Alberto (40')
Verissimo (38'), Moscardo (63'), Augusto (90+5')
Welison (22')
Britez (57'), Guilherme (67'), Pacheco (88')
> Preview