Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 52.47%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 20.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.99%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (8.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.

Result
Botafogo	Draw	Corinthians
52.47% ( -0.09)	26.67% ( 0.01)	20.86% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 42.67% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.64% (

0.06)

60.36% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.49% (

0.05)

80.51% (

-0.04)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.79% (

-0.01)

23.22% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.88% (

-0.02)

57.12% (

0.02)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.58% (

0.13)

44.43% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.53% (

0.11)

80.47% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Botafogo 52.46%

Corinthians 20.86%

Draw 26.66%

Botafogo	Draw	Corinthians
1-0 @ 15.06% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 10.99% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.35% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.34% 4-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0) Other @ 2.49% Total : 52.46%	1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.31% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.51% Total : 26.66%	0-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.9% Total : 20.86%