Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 57.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 19.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.