Brasileiro | Gameweek 17
Jul 16, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Alfredo Jaconi
Atletico Mineiro

Juventude
1 - 1
Atletico Mineiro

Carlos (43')
Carlos (23'), Salles da Silva (70')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Alonso (18')
Arana (45+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Brasileiro clash between Juventude and Atletico Mineiro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Juventude

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Juventude 1-1 Internacional
Saturday, July 13 at 9.15pm in Copa do Brasil

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-1 Sao Paulo
Friday, July 12 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 38.08%. A win for Juventude had a probability of 34.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Juventude win was 1-0 (10.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
JuventudeDrawAtletico Mineiro
34.05% (-2.093 -2.09)27.87% (-0.765 -0.77)38.08% (2.866 2.87)
Both teams to score 48.05% (2.146 2.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.13% (2.692 2.69)57.87% (-2.688 -2.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.41% (2.08 2.08)78.59% (-2.072 -2.07)
Juventude Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.07% (0.011999999999986 0.01)31.94% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.61% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)68.39% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.6% (3.145 3.15)29.41% (-3.139 -3.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.61% (3.685 3.69)65.4% (-3.68 -3.68)
Score Analysis
    Juventude 34.04%
    Atletico Mineiro 38.08%
    Draw 27.87%
JuventudeDrawAtletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 10.71% (-1.15 -1.15)
2-1 @ 7.49% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-0 @ 6.12% (-0.653 -0.65)
3-1 @ 2.85% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.33% (-0.248 -0.25)
3-2 @ 1.74% (0.121 0.12)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 34.04%
1-1 @ 13.12% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-0 @ 9.39% (-1 -1)
2-2 @ 4.58% (0.317 0.32)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.87%
0-1 @ 11.49% (-0.17 -0.17)
1-2 @ 8.03% (0.555 0.56)
0-2 @ 7.04% (0.485 0.49)
1-3 @ 3.28% (0.479 0.48)
0-3 @ 2.87% (0.419 0.42)
2-3 @ 1.87% (0.274 0.27)
1-4 @ 1% (0.218 0.22)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 38.08%

How you voted: Juventude vs Atletico Mineiro

Juventude
57.1%
Draw
31.0%
Atletico Mineiro
11.9%
42
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