Brasileiro Gameweek 17
Jul 16, 2024 11.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Alfredo Jaconi
  • Jean Carlos 23' yellowcard
  • Jean Carlos 43' goal
  • Abner Salles da Silva 70' yellowcard
  • goal Junior Alonso 18'
  • yellowcard Guilherme Arana 45'+7'

Juventude vs Atletico Mineiro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Juventude

All competitions
Last game
Jul 7, 2024 8.00pm
Juventude 3 - 0 Gremio
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Lucas Barbosa

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions
Last game
Jul 12, 2024 1.30am
Atletico Mineiro 2 - 1 Sao Paulo
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Paulinho

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 38.08%. A win for Juventude had a probability of 34.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Juventude win was 1-0 (10.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result

Juventude 34.05% (-2.10)
Draw 27.87% (-0.77)
Atletico Mineiro 38.08% (+2.87)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.05% (+2.15)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.13% (+2.70)
Under 2.5 57.87% (-2.69)
Over 3.5 21.41% (+2.09)
Under 3.5 78.59% (-2.08)
Over 4.5 9.16% (+1.21)
Under 4.5 90.84% (-1.21)

Juventude Goals

Over 0.5 68.07% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 31.94% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 31.61% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 68.39% (-0.01)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5 70.6% (+3.15)
Under 0.5 29.41% (-3.14)
Over 1.5 34.61% (+3.69)
Under 1.5 65.4% (-3.68)

Score analysis

Juventude 34.04%
Draw 27.87%
Atletico Mineiro 38.08%
Juventude
1-0 @ 10.71% (-1.15)
2-1 @ 7.49% (-0.12)
2-0 @ 6.12% (-0.66)
3-1 @ 2.85% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 2.33% (-0.25)
3-2 @ 1.74% (+0.13)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 34.04%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.12% (-0.20)
0-0 @ 9.39% (-1.00)
2-2 @ 4.58% (+0.32)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.87%
Atletico Mineiro
0-1 @ 11.49% (-0.17)
1-2 @ 8.03% (+0.56)
0-2 @ 7.04% (+0.49)
1-3 @ 3.28% (+0.48)
0-3 @ 2.87% (+0.42)
2-3 @ 1.87% (+0.28)
1-4 @ 1% (-77.50)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 38.08%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 34
Oct 27, 2022 11.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Dodo 12' goal
Brasileiro Gameweek 15
Jul 2, 2022 8.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • William Matheus 28' yellowcard
  • Ontilasi Moraes 76' goal
  • Yuri 84' yellowcard
  • goal Hulk 30'
  • goal Eduardo Sasha 56'
  • yellowcard Mariano 80'
Brasileiro Gameweek 34
Nov 20, 2021 10.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Mariano 44' yellowcard
  • Hulk 72' goal
  • Hulk 76' goal
  • yellowcard Jadson 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Dawhan 79'
Brasileiro Gameweek 15
Aug 8, 2021 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Paulinho 45'+1' goal
  • Rafael Forster 61' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dylan Borrero 52'
  • yellowcard Allan Rodrigues de Souza 72'
  • goal Hulk 77'
  • goal Nathan Silva 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Jair 90'+5'