Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 67.96%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 12.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.24%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.08%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
Palmeiras	Draw	Juventude
67.96% ( 0.11)	19.1% ( -0.05)	12.94% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 48.88% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.43% (

0.09)

43.56% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.04% (

0.1)

65.96% (

-0.1)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.2% (

0.06)

11.8% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.98% (

0.13)

37.02% (

-0.13)

Juventude Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.42% (

-0.03)

44.58% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.41% (

-0.03)

80.59% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Palmeiras 67.95%

Juventude 12.94%

Draw 19.1%

Palmeiras	Draw	Juventude
2-0 @ 12.01% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 11.24% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.91% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0) Other @ 3.45% Total : 67.95%	1-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.84% Total : 19.1%	0-1 @ 4.25% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.06% ( -0) 1-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.26% Total : 12.94%