Copa do Brasil | Third Round | 1st Leg

May 23, 2024 at 11pm UK

Estadio Santa Cruz

Botafogo SP
0 - 0
Palmeiras

Junior (79')
Schappo (30'), Vinicius Dias Costa (87')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Henrique (45+3'), Santos (64')
Rios (17'), Ferreira (18'), Rafael (38'), Piquerez (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa do Brasil clash between Botafogo SP and Palmeiras, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Palmeiras

All competitions

Last Game: Palmeiras 2-1 Independiente
Thursday, May 16 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 58.56%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Botafogo SP had a probability of 16.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.5%) and 1-2 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Botafogo SP win it was 1-0 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
Botafogo SP	Draw	Palmeiras
16.72% ( -0.11)	24.71% ( 0.01)	58.56% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 41.43% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.48% (

-0.19)

58.51% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.91% (

-0.15)

79.09% (

0.15)

Botafogo SP Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.74% (

-0.27)

48.26% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.58% (

-0.2)

83.42% (

0.19)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.06% (

-0.04)

19.94% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.91% (

-0.06)

52.09% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Botafogo SP 16.72%

Palmeiras 58.55%

Draw 24.71%

Botafogo SP	Draw	Palmeiras
1-0 @ 7.01% ( -0) 2-1 @ 4.12% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 2.55% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.04% Total : 16.72%	1-1 @ 11.3% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.47% Total : 24.71%	0-1 @ 15.51% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 12.5% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 9.12% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 6.72% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.9% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 2.71% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.33% Total : 58.55%